V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy

J1 League · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 · 05:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is V-varen Nagasaki, at 52.2%. The other outcomes represent 47.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 52.2% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 25%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: V-varen Nagasaki 1734; Tokyo Verdy 1627. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

J1 League · Sunday, Nov 1 2026 · 05:00
V-varen Nagasaki
Elo 1734
vs
Tokyo Verdy
Elo 1627
Home Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
+107

Elo rating comparison

V-varen Nagasaki1734
Tokyo Verdy1627

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—V-varen Nagasaki
—Draws
—Tokyo Verdy

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
35%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.