How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Melbourne Victory W, at 51.3%. The other outcomes represent 48.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.3% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 25.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Melbourne Victory W 1624; Newcastle Jets FC W 1388. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
A-League Women · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 06:45
Melbourne Victory W
Elo 1624
vs
Newcastle Jets FC W
Elo 1388
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+236
Elo rating comparison
Melbourne Victory W1624
Newcastle Jets FC W1388
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Melbourne Victory W
—Draws
—Newcastle Jets FC W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
24%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
37%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.