Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka

J1 League · Sunday, 01 Nov 2026 · 07:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Machida Zelvia, at 53.6%. The other outcomes represent 46.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 53.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 24%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Machida Zelvia 1968; Gamba Osaka 1865. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

J1 League · Sunday, Nov 1 2026 · 07:00
Machida Zelvia
Elo 1968
vs
Gamba Osaka
Elo 1865
Home Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Away Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Elo Advantage
+103

Elo rating comparison

Machida Zelvia1968
Gamba Osaka1865

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Machida Zelvia
—Draws
—Gamba Osaka

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
39%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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