How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stord, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 33.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stord 1455; Sogndal II 1379. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 3 · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 13:00
Stord
Elo 1455
4
-
2
Sogndal II
Elo 1379
FT
HT 2-0
Elo rating comparison
Stord1455
Sogndal II1379
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stord
—Draws
—Sogndal II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
33%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.