How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tenerife II, at 52.6%. The other outcomes represent 47.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.6% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 24.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tenerife II 1607; Don Benito 1698. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 11:00
Tenerife II
Elo 1607
0
-
1
Don Benito
Elo 1698
FT
HT 0-1
Elo rating comparison
Tenerife II1607
Don Benito1698
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tenerife II
—Draws
—Don Benito
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
@ 1.91
Draw
23%
@ 3.35
Away
25%
@ 3.46
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.63
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.22
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.74
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
@ 2.46
Draw
42%
@ 2.15
Away
16%
@ 3.92
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.33
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.22
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.77
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.