How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Academica, at 43.8%. The other outcomes represent 56.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.3% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 43.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vizela 1621; Academica 1759. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 11:00
Vizela
Elo 1621
vs
Academica
Elo 1759
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-139
Elo rating comparison
Vizela1621
Academica1759
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Vizela
—Draws
—Academica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
27%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
43%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.