How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yambol 1915, at 56.4%. The other outcomes represent 43.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.6% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 56.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 1346; Yambol 1915 1629. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southeast · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 12:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
Elo 1346
0
-
1
Yambol 1915
Elo 1629
FT
HT 0-0
Elo rating comparison
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II1346
Yambol 19151629
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lokomotiv Plovdiv II
—Draws
—Yambol 1915
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
20%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
36%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.