How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Karystos, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.5% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Diagoras Agias 1522; Karystos 1612. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 11:00
Diagoras Agias
Elo 1522
2
-
0
Karystos
Elo 1612
FT
Elo rating comparison
Diagoras Agias1522
Karystos1612
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Diagoras Agias
—Draws
—Karystos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
25%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
44%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.