How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mamelodi Sundowns, at 73.8%. The other outcomes represent 26.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 73.8% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 7.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns 1994; Durban City 1659. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier Soccer League · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 18:15
Mamelodi Sundowns
Elo 1994
4
-
1
Durban City
Elo 1659
FT
HT 1-0
Elo rating comparison
Mamelodi Sundowns1994
Durban City1659
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mamelodi Sundowns
—Draws
—Durban City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
CORRECT
Home
74%
@ 1.26
Draw
19%
@ 4.91
Away
8%
@ 9.88
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.62
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
@ 1.04
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
@ 1.71
Draw
39%
@ 2.42
Away
13%
@ 8.88
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.34
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.24
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.79
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.