How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lusitânia Lourosa, at 44.0%. The other outcomes represent 56.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 28.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lusitânia Lourosa 1713; Farense 1696. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 15:30
Lusitânia Lourosa
Elo 1713
vs
Farense
Elo 1696
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Lusitânia Lourosa1713
Farense1696
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lusitânia Lourosa
0Draws
2Farense
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
28%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
39%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.