How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Roeselare Daisel, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.1% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 54.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Merelbeke 1654; Roeselare Daisel 1825. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:00
Merelbeke
Elo 1654
0
-
4
Roeselare Daisel
Elo 1825
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-171
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Merelbeke1654
Roeselare Daisel1825
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Merelbeke
0Draws
2Roeselare Daisel
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
22%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
38%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.