How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Madrid, at 58.0%. The other outcomes represent 42.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.4% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 58%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Racing Santander 1864; Real Madrid 2296. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 15:15
Racing Santander
Elo 1864
vs
Real Madrid
Elo 2296
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-432
Elo rating comparison
Racing Santander1864
Real Madrid2296
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Racing Santander
—Draws
—Real Madrid
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
23%
@ 8.73
Draw
19%
@ 6.36
Away
58%
@ 1.26
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
@ 1.47
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
@ 1.07
No
21%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
23%
@ 6.72
Draw
29%
@ 3.15
Away
48%
@ 1.59
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
@ 1.14
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
60%
@ 1.73
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
@ 1.05
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
@ 1.22
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.62
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.