How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Valladolid, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 25.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Valladolid 1745; Leganes 1724. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 17:30
Valladolid
Elo 1745
vs
Leganes
Elo 1724
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+21
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Valladolid1745
Leganes1724
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Valladolid
0Draws
0Leganes
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
41%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.