Málaga II vs Melilla

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 · 10:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Málaga II, at 49.1%. The other outcomes represent 50.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 49.1% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 29%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Málaga II 1574; Melilla 1604. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Saturday, Oct 31 2026 · 10:00
Málaga II
Elo 1574
2 - 2
Melilla
Elo 1604
FT HT 1-1

Elo rating comparison

Málaga II1574
Melilla1604

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Málaga II
—Draws
—Melilla

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf. WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf. CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
40% conf. CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
40%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf. WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf. WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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