How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paris FC, at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.8% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 31.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paris FC 1977; Monaco 2093. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 16:15
Paris FC
Elo 1977
vs
Monaco
Elo 2093
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-117
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Paris FC1977
Monaco2093
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Paris FC
0Draws
0Monaco
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
@ 2.32
Draw
28%
@ 3.61
Away
31%
@ 2.89
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
@ 1.58
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
@ 1.41
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
@ 1.62
No
35%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
31%
@ 2.83
Draw
39%
@ 2.28
Away
31%
@ 3.40
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
@ 1.32
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
@ 1.21
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
@ 1.72
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.