How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Antigua GFC, at 37.4%. The other outcomes represent 62.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 37.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aurora 1620; Antigua GFC 1724. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 17:00
Aurora
Elo 1620
vs
Antigua GFC
Elo 1724
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-104
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Aurora1620
Antigua GFC1724
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Aurora
0Draws
4Antigua GFC
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
43%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.