How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guarnizo, at 50.8%. The other outcomes represent 49.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.1% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 50.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Solares 1360; Guarnizo 1561. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 14:15
Solares
Elo 1360
1
-
0
Guarnizo
Elo 1561
FT
HT 1-0
Elo rating comparison
Solares1360
Guarnizo1561
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Solares
—Draws
—Guarnizo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
23%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
38%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.