Blumenau vs Figueirense

Copa Santa Catarina · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Figueirense, at 47.7%. The other outcomes represent 52.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 29.5% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 47.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Blumenau 1560; Figueirense 1714. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 3–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Copa Santa Catarina · Saturday, Oct 31 2026 · 20:00
Blumenau
Elo 1560
3 - 2
Figueirense
Elo 1714
FT HT 0-1

Elo rating comparison

Blumenau1560
Figueirense1714

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Blumenau
—Draws
—Figueirense

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
48% conf. WRONG
Home
29%
@ 3.69
Draw
23%
@ 3.10
Away
48%
@ 1.96
Both Teams to Score
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.97
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf. WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.22
No
29%
Half-Time Result
42% conf. CORRECT
Home
20%
@ 4.54
Draw
38%
@ 1.99
Away
42%
@ 2.59
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.45
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.39
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf. WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf. WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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