How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Marseille, at 51.6%. The other outcomes represent 48.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.6% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 28.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Marseille 2003; Toulouse 1912. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 19:45
Marseille
Elo 2003
vs
Toulouse
Elo 1912
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+91
H2H (2)
1H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Marseille2003
Toulouse1912
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Marseille
1Draws
0Toulouse
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
@ 1.85
Draw
20%
@ 3.95
Away
28%
@ 3.85
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
@ 1.53
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
@ 1.26
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
@ 1.96
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
@ 2.33
Draw
36%
@ 2.41
Away
21%
@ 4.07
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
@ 1.27
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
@ 1.17
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
@ 1.57
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.