How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Braga, at 53.6%. The other outcomes represent 46.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.6% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 23.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Braga 2043; Famalicao 1879. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primeira Liga · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 20:30
SC Braga
Elo 2043
vs
Famalicao
Elo 1879
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+163
H2H (6)
0H
6D
0A
Elo rating comparison
SC Braga2043
Famalicao1879
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0SC Braga
6Draws
0Famalicao
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
23%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
39%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.