How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Municipal, at 50.5%. The other outcomes represent 49.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.1% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 50.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo San Pedro 1564; Municipal 1845. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Sunday, Nov 1 2026
· 21:00
Deportivo San Pedro
Elo 1564
vs
Municipal
Elo 1845
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-282
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo San Pedro1564
Municipal1845
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deportivo San Pedro
3Draws
0Municipal
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
39%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.