How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olancho, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 14.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Olancho 1600; Platense FC 1478. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 01:30
Olancho
Elo 1600
4
-
1
Platense FC
Elo 1478
FT
HT 3-0
Elo rating comparison
Olancho1600
Platense FC1478
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Olancho
—Draws
—Platense FC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
@ 1.43
Draw
24%
@ 4.23
Away
15%
@ 6.15
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.73
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.09
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
@ 1.93
Draw
39%
@ 2.42
Away
17%
@ 5.66
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.28
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.19
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.61
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.