Irtysh Omsk vs Dinamo Stavropol

Second League A - Division A Silver · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 11:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Irtysh Omsk, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 44.4% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 33.1%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Irtysh Omsk 1400; Dinamo Stavropol 1552. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Second League A - Division A Silver · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 11:00
Irtysh Omsk
Elo 1400
2 - 3
Dinamo Stavropol
Elo 1552
FT HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W 1D 4L
Away Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Elo Advantage
-151
H2H (10)
0H 2D 8A

Elo rating comparison

Irtysh Omsk1400
Dinamo Stavropol1552

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Irtysh Omsk
2Draws
8Dinamo Stavropol

10 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
44% conf. WRONG
Home
44%
@ 2.15
Draw
23%
@ 3.17
Away
33%
@ 3.03
Both Teams to Score
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.77
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.28
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.53
No
35%
Half-Time Result
47% conf. CORRECT
Home
21%
@ 2.79
Draw
47%
@ 2.03
Away
32%
@ 3.76
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf. WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.35
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf. WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.29
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.98
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf. WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.