How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cruz Azul, at 62.2%. The other outcomes represent 37.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.2% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 17.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cruz Azul 1821; Leon 1680. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 01:10
Cruz Azul
Elo 1821
vs
Leon
Elo 1680
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+140
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Cruz Azul1821
Leon1680
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cruz Azul
0Draws
1Leon
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
37%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.