How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al-Nassr, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.5% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 53.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pakhtakor 1835; Al-Nassr 2046. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
AFC Champions League Elite · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 13:45
Pakhtakor
Elo 1835
vs
Al-Nassr
Elo 2046
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-211
Elo rating comparison
Pakhtakor1835
Al-Nassr2046
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pakhtakor
—Draws
—Al-Nassr
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
23%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
34%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.