Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Serie A · Monday, 02 Nov 2026 · 17:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sassuolo, at 41.1%. The other outcomes represent 58.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 41.1% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 36.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Sassuolo 1884; Fiorentina 1935. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Serie A · Monday, Nov 2 2026 · 17:30
Sassuolo
Elo 1884
vs
Fiorentina
Elo 1935
Home Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Away Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Elo Advantage
-50
H2H (3)
1H 2D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Sassuolo1884
Fiorentina1935

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

1Sassuolo
2Draws
0Fiorentina

3 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
22%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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