How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Penafiel, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 30.6% · Away win: 23.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Penafiel 1698; Feirense 1571. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 18:00
Penafiel
Elo 1698
vs
Feirense
Elo 1571
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+127
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Penafiel1698
Feirense1571
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Penafiel
0Draws
1Feirense
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
31%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.