How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heracles, at 71.1%. The other outcomes represent 28.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.1% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 11.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Heracles 1697; FC OSS 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eerste Divisie · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 19:00
Heracles
Elo 1697
2
-
0
FC OSS
Elo 1485
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+212
Elo rating comparison
Heracles1697
FC OSS1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Heracles
—Draws
—FC OSS
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
CORRECT
Home
71%
@ 1.17
Draw
18%
@ 7.40
Away
11%
@ 12.02
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.73
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.04
No
7%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Half-Time Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
@ 1.49
Draw
29%
@ 3.18
Away
11%
@ 8.75
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.15
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.06
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.27
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.72
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.