How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Exeter U21, at 49.1%. The other outcomes represent 50.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.1% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 29.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Exeter U21 1529; Reading U21 1457. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League Cup · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 19:00
Exeter U21
Elo 1529
4
-
3
Reading U21
Elo 1457
FT
HT 2-2
Elo rating comparison
Exeter U211529
Reading U211457
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Exeter U21
—Draws
—Reading U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
40%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.