How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atalanta, at 72.9%. The other outcomes represent 27.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.9% · Draw: 15.6% · Away win: 11.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atalanta 2058; Parma 1776. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 19:45
Atalanta
Elo 2058
vs
Parma
Elo 1776
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+282
Elo rating comparison
Atalanta2058
Parma1776
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Atalanta
—Draws
—Parma
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
40%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.