How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sportivo Huracan, at 36.0%. The other outcomes represent 64.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 28.5% · Away win: 35.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sportivo Huracan 1396; Oriental 1514. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Sportivo Huracan
Elo 1396
3
-
2
Oriental
Elo 1514
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-118
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sportivo Huracan1396
Oriental1514
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sportivo Huracan
0Draws
2Oriental
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
@ 2.86
Draw
28%
@ 3.07
Away
36%
@ 2.37
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.85
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.50
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.34
No
34%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
@ 3.57
Draw
44%
@ 1.98
Away
31%
@ 3.05
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.45
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.37
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.