How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Argentino Monte Maíz, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 23.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Argentino Monte Maíz 1590; Kimberley Mar del Plata 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Torneo Federal A · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:45
Argentino Monte Maíz
Elo 1590
0
-
0
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Elo 1574
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Argentino Monte Maíz1590
Kimberley Mar del Plata1574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Argentino Monte Maíz
0Draws
4Kimberley Mar del Plata
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
@ 2.50
Draw
28%
@ 2.61
Away
24%
@ 3.08
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.29
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.44
No
46%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
@ 3.36
Draw
48%
@ 1.77
Away
19%
@ 4.00
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.64
No
42%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.62
No
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.