How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Douglas Haig, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42% · Draw: 31.2% · Away win: 26.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Douglas Haig 1585; Villa Mitre 1606. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Torneo Federal A · Saturday, Oct 31 2026
· 19:00
Douglas Haig
Elo 1585
3
-
0
Villa Mitre
Elo 1606
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-20
Elo rating comparison
Douglas Haig1585
Villa Mitre1606
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Douglas Haig
—Draws
—Villa Mitre
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
@ 1.92
Draw
31%
@ 2.88
Away
27%
@ 4.18
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.19
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.69
No
43%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 2.66
Draw
53%
@ 1.83
Away
21%
@ 5.10
HT Both Teams Score
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.58
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.