Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz

Torneo Federal A · Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kimberley Mar del Plata, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 25.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1577; Argentino Monte Maíz 1587. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Torneo Federal A · Saturday, Oct 31 2026 · 18:00
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Elo 1577
1 - 1
Argentino Monte Maíz
Elo 1587
FT HT 1-0

Elo rating comparison

Kimberley Mar del Plata1577
Argentino Monte Maíz1587

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Kimberley Mar del Plata
—Draws
—Argentino Monte Maíz

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
45% conf. WRONG
Home
45%
@ 1.51
Draw
29%
@ 3.38
Away
26%
@ 6.77
Both Teams to Score
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.07
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 2.31
No
43%
Half-Time Result
51% conf. WRONG
Home
29%
@ 2.13
Draw
51%
@ 1.96
Away
20%
@ 7.46
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.54
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.50
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 3.5 Goals
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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