How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bucaramanga, at 34.5%. The other outcomes represent 65.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.5% · Draw: 31% · Away win: 34.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bucaramanga 1679; Atletico Nacional 1825. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 01:15
Bucaramanga
Elo 1679
vs
Atletico Nacional
Elo 1825
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-146
Elo rating comparison
Bucaramanga1679
Atletico Nacional1825
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bucaramanga
—Draws
—Atletico Nacional
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
34% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
31%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
47%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.