How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kitakyushu, at 44.7%. The other outcomes represent 55.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.7% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 32%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kitakyushu 1429; Biwako Shiga 1400. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 05:00
Kitakyushu
Elo 1429
vs
Biwako Shiga
Elo 1400
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+29
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Kitakyushu1429
Biwako Shiga1400
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Kitakyushu
0Draws
2Biwako Shiga
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
40%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.