How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Omiya Ardija, at 45.3%. The other outcomes represent 54.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.3% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Omiya Ardija 1605; Iwaki 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 05:00
Omiya Ardija
Elo 1605
vs
Iwaki
Elo 1578
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+27
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Omiya Ardija1605
Iwaki1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Omiya Ardija
0Draws
0Iwaki
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.