How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aigle Noir, at 53.0%. The other outcomes represent 47.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.9% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 53%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Muzinga 1547; Aigle Noir 1774. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue A · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 13:00
Muzinga
Elo 1547
vs
Aigle Noir
Elo 1774
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-227
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Muzinga1547
Aigle Noir1774
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Muzinga
0Draws
1Aigle Noir
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
24%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
42%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.