How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is BUL, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.4% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 33.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BUL 1658; SC Villa 1685. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 13:00
BUL
Elo 1658
vs
SC Villa
Elo 1685
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-27
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
BUL1658
SC Villa1685
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0BUL
2Draws
0SC Villa
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
25%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
52%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.