How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kitara, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.1% · Draw: 30% · Away win: 38.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Police 1551; Kitara 1694. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 13:00
Police
Elo 1551
vs
Kitara
Elo 1694
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-143
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Police1551
Kitara1694
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Police
4Draws
0Kitara
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
30%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
39%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.