Atlético Madrid U19 vs Bayern München U19

UEFA Youth League · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 · 15:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atlético Madrid U19, at 53.6%. The other outcomes represent 46.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 53.6% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 24.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Atlético Madrid U19 1761; Bayern München U19 1723. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

UEFA Youth League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026 · 15:00
Atlético Madrid U19
Elo 1761
vs
Bayern München U19
Elo 1723
Home Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Away Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Elo Advantage
+38

Elo rating comparison

Atlético Madrid U191761
Bayern München U191723

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Atlético Madrid U19
—Draws
—Bayern München U19

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
36%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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