How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting CP, at 40.2%. The other outcomes represent 59.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 40.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk 2107; Sporting CP 2198. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 17:45
Shakhtar Donetsk
Elo 2107
vs
Sporting CP
Elo 2198
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-91
Elo rating comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk2107
Sporting CP2198
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Shakhtar Donetsk
—Draws
—Sporting CP
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
24%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
42%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.