How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lanús Res., at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 12.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lanús Res. 1602; Atl. Rafaela 2 1431. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 18:00
Lanús Res.
Elo 1602
vs
Atl. Rafaela 2
Elo 1431
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+171
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lanús Res.1602
Atl. Rafaela 21431
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lanús Res.
0Draws
0Atl. Rafaela 2
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
61%
Draw
27%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
40%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.