How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Newell's Old Boys Res., at 37.7%. The other outcomes represent 62.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.7% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 34.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1572; Independiente Res. 1641. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 18:00
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Elo 1572
vs
Independiente Res.
Elo 1641
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-68
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Newell's Old Boys Res.1572
Independiente Res.1641
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Newell's Old Boys Res.
0Draws
2Independiente Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
50%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.