How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sarmiento Res., at 46.1%. The other outcomes represent 53.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.1% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 29.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sarmiento Res. 1449; Banfield Res. 1439. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 18:00
Sarmiento Res.
Elo 1449
vs
Banfield Res.
Elo 1439
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+10
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sarmiento Res.1449
Banfield Res.1439
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sarmiento Res.
0Draws
2Banfield Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
48%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.