How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rotherham, at 54.1%. The other outcomes represent 45.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.1% · Draw: 19.9% · Away win: 26%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rotherham 1564; Newcastle United U21 1489. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:00
Rotherham
Elo 1564
vs
Newcastle United U21
Elo 1489
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+74
Elo rating comparison
Rotherham1564
Newcastle United U211489
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Rotherham
—Draws
—Newcastle United U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
35%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.