How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Newport County, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 31%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Newport County 1613; Crystal Palace U21 1607. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:00
Newport County
Elo 1613
vs
Crystal Palace U21
Elo 1607
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+6
Elo rating comparison
Newport County1613
Crystal Palace U211607
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Newport County
—Draws
—Crystal Palace U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
43%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.