How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cambridge United, at 58.0%. The other outcomes represent 42.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 22.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cambridge United 1803; Brighton U21 1656. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:00
Cambridge United
Elo 1803
vs
Brighton U21
Elo 1656
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+147
Elo rating comparison
Cambridge United1803
Brighton U211656
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cambridge United
—Draws
—Brighton U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
58%
Draw
19%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
35%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.