How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gateshead, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.2% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gateshead 1446; Stoke City U21 1357. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League Cup · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:00
Gateshead
Elo 1446
vs
Stoke City U21
Elo 1357
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+89
Elo rating comparison
Gateshead1446
Stoke City U211357
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Gateshead
—Draws
—Stoke City U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
32%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.