How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wealdstone, at 70.0%. The other outcomes represent 30.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70% · Draw: 16% · Away win: 14%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wealdstone 1648; Derby County U21 1430. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League Cup · Tuesday, Nov 3 2026
· 19:00
Wealdstone
Elo 1648
vs
Derby County U21
Elo 1430
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+218
Elo rating comparison
Wealdstone1648
Derby County U211430
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Wealdstone
—Draws
—Derby County U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
Home
70%
Draw
16%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
37%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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